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Prediction markets on the sh*t your groupchat is already talking about.

71%Will [_____] text their ex before 2am?
84%Will [_____] hit the gym once and post about it twice?
12%Does anyone actually make it to the 8:30am?
44%Will [_____] change their major again this semester?
62%Will [_____] leave the function without telling a soul?
88%Will [_____] say 'never drinking again' before Sunday?
29%Will [_____] hard-launch the situationship this month?
61%Does the group chat survive the trip?
37%Will [_____] lose their ID for the third time?
76%Will [_____] describe themselves as 'so cooked' before 10am?
09%Does the thing in the back of the fridge get thrown out this month?
41%Will [_____] bring up their high school GPA unprompted?
18%Does [_____] make it to the gym three days running?
47%Will [_____] post the photo they swore they'd delete?
66%Will someone cry at the formal?
55%Will [_____] get back with their ex by spring break?
14%Does anyone remember to cancel the free trial?
58%Will [_____] show up to their own party two hours late?
52%Will [_____] show up to lecture in yesterday's clothes?
21%Does the group study session involve any studying?
93%Will [_____] reply 'omw' while still in bed?
27%Does the roommate thermostat war reach a truce?

71%Will [_____] text their ex before 2am?
84%Will [_____] hit the gym once and post about it twice?
12%Does anyone actually make it to the 8:30am?
44%Will [_____] change their major again this semester?
62%Will [_____] leave the function without telling a soul?
88%Will [_____] say 'never drinking again' before Sunday?
29%Will [_____] hard-launch the situationship this month?
61%Does the group chat survive the trip?
37%Will [_____] lose their ID for the third time?
76%Will [_____] describe themselves as 'so cooked' before 10am?
09%Does the thing in the back of the fridge get thrown out this month?
41%Will [_____] bring up their high school GPA unprompted?
18%Does [_____] make it to the gym three days running?
47%Will [_____] post the photo they swore they'd delete?
66%Will someone cry at the formal?
55%Will [_____] get back with their ex by spring break?
14%Does anyone remember to cancel the free trial?
58%Will [_____] show up to their own party two hours late?
52%Will [_____] show up to lecture in yesterday's clothes?
21%Does the group study session involve any studying?
93%Will [_____] reply 'omw' while still in bed?
27%Does the roommate thermostat war reach a truce?

Start your group chat

Takes a minute. Then invite your friends.

Odds are just the pool ratio. Nobody is quoting you a price.

0007Spreak '26 - Dublin, Ireland

Seeding→Open→Closed

Will [_____] get into a bar fight at Temple Bar?

Yes15/834%

No1/266%

Movement

7d agonow

Pool: $124
Bettors: 9
Closes: Mar 14 · 1d left

Retain this portion. Stakes are in points and are not redeemable.

01
Propose a market
Anything with a yes-or-no answer and a date. If the group chat argued about it, it qualifies.
02
Seed it blind
Stake either side with no prices shown. Odds don't exist yet, so there is nothing to follow and nothing to anchor to.
03
Odds reveal
The window shuts, the pools open up, and staking continues at the pool ratio until the market closes.
04
Pool pays the winners
At resolution the whole pool splits across the correct side, proportional to what each person staked.

No cash-outs. No market makers. Odds are just the pool ratio — if they look wrong, that's not a bug, that's your friends.

Your group chat already made the bet. This is where it settles.

Start your group chat I have a code